Strategy
Estratégia

Strategy


Deliver More Value - Strategic Plan 2025-28

“Deliver more value 28” sets a new bar for Millennium bcp's aspirations towards customers, people and shareholders. Millennium bcp is starting this cycle from a strengthened position that allows the Bank to confidently aim for a compelling profitability level (ROE >13.5%) and a material distribution to shareholders (up to 75% ), while preserving a robust capital position (>13.5% CET1).

The Strategic Cycle now ending consolidated an unrivaled path of transformation that led to early achievement of the ambitious financial targets set forth, cementing the group’s competitive position in its markets, across most segments, excelling in profitability (ROE of 15.3% in 2023) and balance sheet robustness (CET1 of 16.5% in 9M2024). Ultimately, these results are reflected in the upward trajectory in share price (+229%, September 2024 vs. December 2020) and investment grade ratings (3-4 notches since 2018). Millennium bcp has done so strengthening its leadership in customer centricity, while solidifying its technology foundations

In Portugal, the bank was successful in significantly boosting revenues (+50% vs. 2021), exploring previous strides in technology to increase digital and mobile adoption. In Poland, the Bank completed the recovery plan and restored profitability, despite sizeable recognition of FX mortgage provisions, while maintaining a stable performance in Mozambique in a challenging environment.

Millennium bcp has consistently grown business volumes as a group (+4% CAGR since 2018) and in each business unit, with particular emphasis in Poland, notwithstanding the 65% reduction of NPEs since 2018. This evolution allowed Millennium bcp to consolidate a competitive position across most of the segments, in markets that offer a structural advantage in the upcoming cycle with GDP growth above EU‑27 average, sizeable EU funding packages for Portugal and Poland, and substantial investments in large projects for Mozambique.

Looking to the future, the Bank is well‑positioned to navigate 3 main trends: (i) the likely downward trajectory of interest rates and its implications to profitability, (ii) the evolving customer behaviour with increased demand for innovation and personalization in the rise of AI, and (iii) the growing cybersecurity risks with increasing sophistication of attacks and an evolving regulatory context (e.g., DORA).

In this context, Millennium bcp is launching a new Strategic Plan for 2028, “Deliver more value 28”. In this plan, the Bank aspires to deliver more value to all stakeholders: for customers with a leading position in experience across markets, for talent with a satisfaction of >75/100 and >25% share of people promoted per year, and for shareholders with tangible returns and distribution. This will require an evolution of priorities (i) seeking growth options in attractive value pools with right‑to‑win, increasing portfolio balance towards the SME segment, (ii)innovating selectively in adjacencies, and (iii) strengthening credit risk capabilities.

In Portugal, Millennium bcp aspires to be the relationship bank with the best experience, human and digital enabled, for families and companies, ambitioning to capture 150‑200k new active customers and +€4bn credit to companies (stock) by 2028. ActivoBank aims to lead customer acquisition in A/B digital first arena, with distinctive digital daily banking and value for money proposition, reaching 700k active customers in 2028.

In Poland, Bank Millennium aims to be the reference bank in acquisition and development of primary relationships with SMEs and individuals, embracing innovation and delivering top‑quality services, reaching 3.7mn active customers, growing corporate lending stock at 14% p.a., and increasing the share of primary retail clients to 70%.

In Mozambique, Millennium bim will be focused on reinforcing its position as the main bank for families and companies and the reference bank for international investors in Mozambique's economy, with strong risk controls, targeting 1.7mn active customers and circa of 20% market share inlending to companies and individuals.

These priorities will enable Millennium bcp to deliver more value, visible in the main targets set for 2028. As a group, the bank aspires to deliver a healthy organic growth, achieving business volumes in excess of €190bn, more than 8mn active customers of which mobile more than 80%, maintain an execution discipline reflected in a cost‑to‑income below 40% and cost of risk of below 50bps, reinforcing the ESG commitment aiming for a top quartile position in S&P Global CSA rating, ultimately achieving returns with an RoE above 13.5%, keeping a sizeable capital buffer with a CET1 ratio of above 13.5% and shareholder distribution of up to 75% of the cumulative net income of €4.0‑4.5bn in 2025-28.


1 Of cumulative net income of €4.0‑4.5bn in 2025‑28 subject to supervisory approval and achievement of Plan’s relevant capital and business targets in Portugal and in the international area and fulfillment of CET1 target. Including payout and share buyback, 2025 through 2028
2 Official ratio, without the Q3’24 net income, of 16.2%.
3Subject to supervisory approval and achievement of Plan’s relevant capital and business targets in Portugal and in the international area and fulfillment of CET1 target. Including payout and share buyback, 2025 through 2028.


Deliver more value

Main targets for strategic cycle 2025-2028

  Metrics 2024 2028
    
Healthy organic growth Business volumes
Portugal
160€bn
109€bn
> 190€bn
> 120€bn
Number of customers
Portugal
7.0mn
2.8mn
> 8mn
> 3mn
Mobile customers
Portugal
71%
63%
>80%
> 75%
    
Execution discipline Cost-to-income
Portugal
37%
34%
< 40%
< 37%
Cost of risk
Portugal
32 pbs1
31 pb1
< 50 pbs
< 45 pbs
    
ESG commitment S&P Global CSA (percentile) Top quartile Top quartile
    
Robust capital CET1 ratio
16.3%2 > 13.5%
    
Superior returns ROE 13.8% > 13.5%
Shareholder distribution 72%4
(2024 activity)
Up to 75% of cumulative net income of 4.0-4.5€bn in 2025-20283 subject to supervisory approval and achievement of Plan’s relevant capital & business targets in Portugal and in the international area and fulfillment of CET1 target
    

11 Incudes an impairment reversal occurred in Q2’24, without this effect cost of risk would stand at 40bp at the group level and 43 bp for Portugal.
2Fully implemented ratio including unaudited net income of 2024.
3Including payout and share buyback, from 2025 through 2028.
4Including a 50% dividend payout of 2024 earnings and the effect of the share buyback programme amounting to 200 million approved by the supervisor.